Cimarrones de Sonora vs Venados FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CIM
2 - 0
UAT
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
ZAC
2 - 2
CIM
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
TEM
1 - 0
CIM
38%
27%
36%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
CIM
2 - 0
TIA
65%
22%
14%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
TAM
0 - 1
CIM
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
MER
0 - 1
ATL
38%
27%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
CDT
1 - 1
MER
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
MER
2 - 3
ZAC
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SPT
0 - 2
MER
48%
28%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
MER
0 - 1
TOR
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |