Cimarrones de Sonora vs Los Cabos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
2º
2º
21
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CIM
4 - 1
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ZAC
0 - 3
CIM
23%
25%
53%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
IRA
3 - 0
CIM
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
CIM
1 - 0
IRA
35%
26%
40%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
CIM
2 - 2
PDC
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Los Cabos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
EST
1 - 4
LCU
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LCU
0 - 3
LEO
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 2
LCU
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 20 | 39 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
LCU
1 - 0
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ADG
4 - 0
LCU
20%
23%
58%
|
59 | 21 | 38 | -1 |