Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
CIM
2 - 2
PDC
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
PDC
0 - 0
CIM
16%
23%
61%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
CIM
19%
25%
57%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
CIM
0 - 1
ADP
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 1
CIM
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
IRA
3 - 0
IPC
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
IPC
4 - 1
IRA
17%
23%
60%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
IRA
0 - 0
PDS
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
IRA
2 - 0
IPC
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 1
IRA
21%
24%
56%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |