Cimarrones de Sonora vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
2º
2º
18
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ZAC
0 - 3
CIM
23%
25%
53%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
IRA
3 - 0
CIM
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
CIM
1 - 0
IRA
35%
26%
40%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
CIM
2 - 2
PDC
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
PDC
0 - 0
CIM
16%
23%
61%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
EST
1 - 4
LCU
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ADG
5 - 3
EST
20%
22%
57%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
EST
6 - 1
ZIT
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
REB
6 - 0
EST
44%
25%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2024 |
ZAC
2 - 1
EST
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |