Cimarrones de Sonora vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
20.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
2º
2º
22
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
LEO
3 - 1
CIM
13%
22%
66%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CIM
2 - 1
ADG
68%
21%
12%
|
73 | 33 | 40 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
TRI
0 - 0
CIM
11%
21%
68%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CIM
2 - 0
TDA
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 34 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RAF
1 - 0
CIM
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
DUR
0 - 0
EST
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
DUR
4 - 2
MIN
77%
16%
7%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MFC
0 - 1
DUR
20%
25%
55%
|
67 | 35 | 32 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
LCU
1 - 2
DUR
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
DUR
2 - 1
LEO
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |