Liga de Expansión MX - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Cimarrones de Sonora vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CIM
3 - 1
MOR
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 0
CIM
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
CIM
1 - 1
MER
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
TEM
0 - 2
CIM
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CIM
2 - 1
UAT
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 0
DUR
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
DUR
0 - 1
TOR
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 3
UAT
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
UDG
0 - 2
TOR
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
ATL
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |