Cimarrones de Sonora vs Agricultores Guasave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+159%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
2º
2º
10
6º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
10 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
TRI
0 - 0
CIM
11%
21%
68%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CIM
2 - 0
TDA
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 34 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RAF
1 - 0
CIM
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CIM
2 - 1
LCU
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CIM
4 - 1
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Agricultores Guasave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
ADG
0 - 3
EST
24%
23%
54%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
ZAC
0 - 2
ADG
75%
16%
10%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | +3 |
| 05 Feb. 2025 |
LEO
2 - 1
ADG
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ADG
2 - 2
MIN
27%
24%
49%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ADG
2 - 0
MFC
34%
22%
45%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |