Cimarrones II vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
66.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MIN
1 - 1
CSI
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
CSI
2 - 4
ATS
17%
25%
58%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ZAC
2 - 0
CSI
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CSI
4 - 3
LEO
19%
23%
58%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +3 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
GAV
2 - 0
CSI
78%
15%
7%
|
37 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MUR
3 - 1
EST
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
COR
1 - 2
MUR
17%
23%
60%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MUR
4 - 2
DUR
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NAY
0 - 0
MUR
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
MUR
0 - 3
TEM
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |