Cimarrones II vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
64.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
REY
3 - 0
CSI
68%
20%
12%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
CSI
0 - 1
GUA
20%
25%
55%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
NAY
2 - 0
CSI
73%
18%
10%
|
40 | 64 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CSI
0 - 1
CHI
17%
22%
61%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
LOR
11 - 0
CSI
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
EST
2 - 2
MUR
15%
25%
60%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MUR
1 - 1
REY
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 0
MUR
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MUR
0 - 1
NAY
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
MUR
16%
25%
60%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |