Cimarrones II vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
0
22.8%
66.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
18.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.1%
0-2
16%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
ZAC
2 - 0
CSI
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CSI
0 - 1
GAV
15%
23%
62%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
REB
4 - 1
CSI
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
CSI
0 - 2
ASL
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
MAZ
1 - 1
CSI
78%
15%
7%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
DUR
3 - 0
COL
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
DUR
2 - 1
ZAC
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 0
DUR
41%
28%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
DUR
2 - 0
REB
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 1
DUR
23%
27%
51%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |