Cimarrones II vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PAC
0 - 1
CSI
62%
21%
18%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CSI
0 - 2
COR
14%
20%
66%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
GAV
5 - 0
CSI
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CSI
3 - 1
MON
16%
22%
62%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
CSI
0 - 1
LEO
20%
23%
57%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
DUR
3 - 2
MUR
12%
22%
66%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
REY
1 - 1
DUR
63%
23%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
DUR
1 - 2
GUA
24%
27%
49%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2019 |
NAY
1 - 0
DUR
77%
17%
7%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
DUR
42%
27%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |