Cimarrones II vs Atlético Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrones II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
MUR
3 - 0
CSI
81%
14%
5%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CSI
0 - 0
MIN
11%
19%
70%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ATS
1 - 1
CSI
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
CSI
0 - 2
ZAC
17%
25%
58%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
LEO
2 - 0
CSI
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 1
EST
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
COR
1 - 1
ATL
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
0 - 4
DUR
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
NAY
1 - 1
ATL
73%
19%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 3
TEM
25%
28%
48%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |