Segunda Categoría - Ecuador Knock-outs 1/16
Global 3-0
Cimarrón Furia Verde vs CD Olmedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
75.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cimarrón Furia Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OLM
0 - 3
CFV
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 62 | 52 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CFV
2 - 2
CDI
56%
20%
24%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
CDI
1 - 2
CFV
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CD Olmedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
OLM
0 - 3
CFV
86%
10%
4%
|
62 | 10 | 52 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
OLM
5 - 0
SES
74%
17%
10%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SES
0 - 6
OLM
19%
22%
59%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
OLM
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
OLM
2 - 1
INJ
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |