Cieza vs CDU Malacitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
5º
14º
8º
58
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
UCA
0 - 1
CIE
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CIE
0 - 1
AGU
18%
24%
58%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RMC
0 - 0
CIE
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CIE
3 - 2
LOR
29%
25%
46%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
CIE
61%
22%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CDU Malacitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LAU
0 - 0
AGU
29%
29%
42%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LAU
0 - 0
LOR
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MSM
1 - 1
LAU
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LAU
3 - 1
PUL
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
EGP
1 - 2
LAU
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |