Cieza vs CDU Malacitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
31%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PIN
2 - 0
CIE
64%
19%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CIE
1 - 0
AGU
16%
22%
62%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +3 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
CIE
76%
16%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BAL
1 - 1
CIE
61%
20%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CIE
0 - 3
MIN
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CDU Malacitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
LAU
2 - 0
BAL
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MIN
1 - 2
LAU
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
LAU
2 - 4
IMP
36%
26%
38%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
MIN
0 - 1
LAU
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
LAU
0 - 1
CAR
63%
20%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |