Cieza vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
50.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 2
CIE
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CIE
1 - 4
MIN
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MUL
2 - 4
CIE
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CIE
4 - 0
PUL
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 1
AGU
34%
26%
40%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
UCA
1 - 0
AGU
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
BUL
1 - 0
UCA
13%
22%
65%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
UCA
0 - 1
MAR
64%
21%
16%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
PLU
0 - 1
UCA
15%
24%
61%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
UCA
1 - 0
MSM
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |