Cieza vs UCAM Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
IMP
1 - 1
CIE
45%
27%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CIE
5 - 2
CAR
82%
13%
6%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
CIE
4 - 1
BAL
70%
18%
13%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AGU
2 - 0
CIE
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CIE
1 - 1
LOR
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
UCA
1 - 0
PIN
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
UCA
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
UCA
6 - 0
PLU
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
JUM
2 - 1
UCA
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
UCA
4 - 0
MIN
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |