Cieza vs Minerva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
CIE
0 - 8
UCA
16%
26%
58%
|
21 | 68 | 47 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
CIE
1 - 4
HER
14%
22%
64%
|
21 | 58 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
NUE
7 - 0
CIE
43%
23%
34%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CIE
2 - 1
UCA
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 5
CIE
11%
18%
72%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 3
MIN
48%
24%
28%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MIN
2 - 2
ALQ
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ABA
1 - 2
MIN
17%
20%
63%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 1
MIN
35%
23%
42%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MIN
3 - 0
RMC
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |