Cieza vs Minerva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
47.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
JUM
1 - 2
CIE
44%
23%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CIE
0 - 1
CAR
28%
24%
48%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 6
CIE
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CIE
2 - 2
MAZ
39%
23%
39%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CDA
3 - 3
CIE
61%
20%
19%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MIN
0 - 0
MSM
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 2
MIN
13%
19%
68%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
JUM
0 - 0
MIN
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MIN
1 - 1
CAR
52%
22%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ALQ
0 - 4
MIN
19%
20%
60%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |