Cieza vs UCAM Murcia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
MUL
2 - 0
CIE
41%
24%
36%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CIE
1 - 0
LFC
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LAU
3 - 1
CIE
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CIE
0 - 1
PIN
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
AGU
2 - 1
CIE
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
UCAM Murcia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
UCA
3 - 0
BAL
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MIN
3 - 0
UCA
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
UCA
3 - 1
IMP
35%
25%
40%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MIN
3 - 0
UCA
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
UCA
5 - 0
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |