Cieza vs Sangonera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
OLI
2 - 1
CIE
57%
23%
20%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
CIE
2 - 1
JUM
51%
25%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
LUM
0 - 1
CIE
30%
27%
44%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
CIE
2 - 1
IMP
47%
27%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
LAS
2 - 1
CIE
64%
21%
16%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sangonera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
JUM
4 - 2
LOR
52%
25%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
LOR
0 - 1
IMP
36%
30%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CDB
0 - 4
LOR
38%
27%
35%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 2
MOL
43%
28%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
IND
2 - 2
LOR
56%
22%
21%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |