Cieza vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PLU
1 - 0
CIE
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CIE
5 - 1
PUL
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CDB
0 - 5
CIE
10%
19%
71%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CIE
1 - 0
MSM
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MIN
2 - 1
CIE
24%
26%
50%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
IMP
0 - 3
MAR
26%
27%
48%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 0
IMP
27%
25%
48%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
IMP
0 - 2
CFC
55%
24%
22%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 1
IMP
47%
25%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
IMP
2 - 1
EGP
60%
24%
16%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |