Cieza vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
CAA
3 - 1
CIE
77%
13%
10%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
CIE
1 - 0
CAR
40%
22%
39%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +3 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
IMP
2 - 2
CIE
88%
8%
5%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
CIE
0 - 0
ORI
69%
16%
15%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
CIE
0 - 1
ELC
43%
21%
36%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1948 |
RJA
5 - 0
CRE
85%
9%
6%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1948 |
ELD
2 - 1
RJA
66%
17%
17%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
ALM
1 - 0
RJA
43%
22%
36%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
RJA
3 - 1
CAA
71%
15%
14%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
TOM
5 - 0
RJA
68%
17%
16%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |