Cieza vs Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
IMP
4 - 0
CIE
79%
15%
6%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CIE
0 - 1
PIN
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 0
CIE
71%
18%
11%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CIE
0 - 3
MIN
25%
25%
51%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MUL
3 - 0
CIE
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
PLU
2 - 2
AGU
18%
25%
57%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
PLU
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PLU
1 - 2
JUM
14%
21%
65%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PLU
1 - 2
IMP
24%
27%
50%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
PIN
4 - 2
PLU
29%
26%
45%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |