Cieza vs Muleño CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
31.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
YEC
2 - 0
CIE
80%
14%
7%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CIE
3 - 2
MSM
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
EGP
1 - 1
CIE
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CIE
1 - 2
FOR
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
EFA
2 - 2
CIE
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Muleño CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MUL
0 - 1
AGU
28%
25%
48%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
MUL
50%
23%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MUL
8 - 1
PLU
48%
23%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
IMP
2 - 0
MUL
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MUL
2 - 2
PIN
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |