Cieza vs Molinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
CIE
2 - 1
BAL
51%
25%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
IMP
1 - 0
CIE
72%
18%
11%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
CIE
2 - 0
HOR
14%
24%
62%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +4 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
UNI
1 - 0
CIE
71%
17%
12%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
CIE
0 - 1
ORI
11%
21%
69%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Molinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
IMP
1 - 1
MOL
59%
23%
19%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
MOL
2 - 1
UNI
55%
23%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
PIN
0 - 2
MOL
61%
22%
17%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
MOL
0 - 1
CAL
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
JUM
2 - 2
MOL
52%
25%
23%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |