Cieza vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CFC
4 - 0
CIE
62%
21%
18%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 5
LAU
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CIE
0 - 4
JUM
35%
24%
42%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
AGU
4 - 0
CIE
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 5
JUM
42%
24%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
AGU
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
PLU
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
IMP
1 - 0
MAR
20%
24%
56%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ASJ
1 - 0
MAR
29%
26%
46%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -3 |