Cieza vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PLU
0 - 0
CIE
30%
24%
46%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CIE
1 - 0
ABA
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
PUL
1 - 2
CIE
28%
24%
48%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CIE
0 - 1
MOR
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CIE
3 - 0
MAZ
84%
11%
5%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 0
PUT
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CCS
2 - 0
LOR
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 0
IMP
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
CDB
3 - 0
LOR
10%
20%
70%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | -3 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
HAR
2 - 1
LOR
25%
25%
51%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -2 |