Cieza vs Lorca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
19.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
ALM
3 - 1
CIE
60%
19%
21%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
CIE
5 - 1
IMP
58%
19%
23%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
ELC
2 - 0
CIE
86%
9%
5%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
CIE
3 - 2
ELD
35%
23%
43%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +2 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
CIE
1 - 5
ALB
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
LOR
0 - 7
ALB
21%
21%
58%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
ALI
4 - 0
LOR
77%
13%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
LOR
0 - 0
CAR
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
CRE
11 - 1
LOR
51%
21%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
ELD
5 - 0
LOR
75%
14%
11%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |