Cieza vs Jumilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
AGU
4 - 0
CIE
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 5
JUM
42%
24%
35%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CIE
1 - 0
EGP
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
CFC
4 - 3
CIE
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CIE
1 - 7
YEC
31%
24%
44%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
JUM
2 - 3
YEC
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 5
JUM
42%
24%
35%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
JUM
1 - 1
AGU
38%
26%
37%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
BUL
0 - 1
JUM
25%
24%
50%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
JUM
1 - 5
MAR
30%
25%
46%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |