Cieza vs Jumilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 0
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
OLI
1 - 0
CIE
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CIE
1 - 0
CFC
71%
16%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 1
CIE
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CIE
2 - 0
EGP
77%
14%
9%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
JUM
1 - 2
BAL
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 5
JUM
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
JUM
4 - 2
PIN
72%
18%
10%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
OLI
0 - 3
JUM
23%
23%
54%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
JUM
0 - 0
IMP
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |