Cieza vs Jumilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
MAZ
4 - 1
CIE
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CIE
1 - 1
LAS
42%
27%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
CFB
0 - 2
CIE
68%
20%
13%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CIE
1 - 2
AGU
21%
25%
54%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
UCA
2 - 0
CIE
38%
27%
36%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Jumilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
JUM
0 - 3
LAS
53%
25%
22%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
AGU
5 - 0
JUM
73%
17%
11%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
JUM
1 - 1
MME
18%
23%
59%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 1
JUM
28%
27%
45%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
JUM
3 - 1
BAL
70%
19%
11%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |