Cieza vs Abarán CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
62.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CIE
3 - 0
VIL
18%
20%
62%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CCS
1 - 1
CIE
75%
15%
10%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CIE
1 - 2
EFA
42%
23%
34%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
RMC
0 - 0
CIE
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CDB
4 - 1
CIE
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Abarán CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ABA
4 - 3
EEP
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
3 - 0
ABA
20%
21%
59%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ABA
2 - 0
MSM
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CCS
3 - 2
ABA
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ABA
2 - 0
CDT
79%
14%
8%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |