Cieza vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 2
CIE
64%
20%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
CIE
0 - 2
AGU
28%
25%
48%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
IMP
2 - 0
CIE
51%
23%
26%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CIE
1 - 2
MUL
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CIE
2 - 0
MAZ
40%
24%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 1
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
CHU
1 - 1
LOR
26%
25%
49%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 1
NUE
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
YEC
1 - 1
LOR
63%
20%
18%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
LOR
4 - 0
OLI
74%
16%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |