Cieza vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
54.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
CIE
3 - 1
MSM
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 7
CIE
11%
20%
69%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
CIE
4 - 0
MSM
71%
18%
12%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 0
CIE
60%
20%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CIE
3 - 1
JUM
61%
20%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
LOR
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 2
CDE
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CDE
1 - 1
LOR
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
LOR
0 - 3
CRD
31%
25%
45%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CRD
1 - 2
LOR
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |