Cieza vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 1
CIE
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CIE
1 - 1
PUL
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
UCA
0 - 1
CIE
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CIE
1 - 1
IMP
41%
26%
34%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
CIE
16%
23%
61%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ABA
2 - 1
PIN
17%
23%
60%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 4
ABA
39%
26%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ABA
0 - 1
PLU
30%
26%
43%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JUM
2 - 1
ABA
62%
22%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ABA
1 - 2
MIN
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |