Cieza vs CF Base Abarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
YEC
3 - 2
CIE
68%
19%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CIE
4 - 0
LUM
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
PLU
2 - 0
CIE
21%
23%
56%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
CIE
1 - 1
CFB
23%
22%
56%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
PIN
2 - 2
CIE
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CF Base Abarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ABA
1 - 1
BAL
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CUA
4 - 1
ABA
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
ABA
5 - 0
ALB
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
BUL
3 - 1
ABA
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ABA
2 - 0
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |