Cieza vs Independiente Ceutí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+130%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
RAA
2 - 0
CIE
28%
26%
46%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CIE
2 - 0
CLU
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CIE
1 - 0
PLU
62%
21%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
YEC
0 - 1
CIE
35%
26%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CIE
3 - 1
CDB
55%
22%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Ceutí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
CEU
2 - 2
VIL
6%
14%
80%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
MSM
3 - 2
CEU
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
MUL
3 - 0
CEU
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CEU
1 - 3
ABA
8%
15%
77%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CHU
2 - 0
CEU
77%
15%
7%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |