Cieza vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.2%
12.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
ALM
0 - 0
CIE
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
CIE
2 - 1
LOR
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
ALM
3 - 2
CIE
67%
17%
17%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
CIE
5 - 3
CAL
58%
20%
23%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
MIN
5 - 0
CIE
60%
19%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
ASP
1 - 3
THA
74%
15%
12%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
HEL
3 - 0
ASP
84%
10%
6%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
ASP
3 - 0
AGU
49%
21%
29%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ORI
4 - 1
ASP
68%
17%
16%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
ASP
0 - 2
CFC
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |