Cieza vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
PIN
1 - 2
CIE
9%
19%
72%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CIE
3 - 2
IMP
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
PLU
1 - 0
CIE
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CIE
5 - 1
PUL
76%
15%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CDB
0 - 5
CIE
10%
19%
71%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
BAL
0 - 3
MAR
17%
23%
61%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
OLI
4 - 3
BAL
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 1
CFC
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 1
BAL
63%
21%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
3 - 0
EGP
45%
25%
30%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |