CD Cieza U19 vs CFS El Progreso U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
8º
5º
35
10º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 78 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 75 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 54 |
6º
|
80.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 53 |
7º
|
80.5% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
90% | |
|
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
80.5% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Cieza U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 2
CIE
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
BEN
3 - 0
CIE
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CIE
3 - 0
UCA
25%
20%
55%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ACA
3 - 1
CIE
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CIE
17 - 1
MMC
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
CFS El Progreso U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 3
PIN
34%
22%
44%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 3
FUT
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PIN
3 - 3
PRO
53%
21%
27%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
PRO
6 - 1
GUA
67%
17%
16%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ADM
2 - 0
PRO
71%
16%
13%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |