Ciervos vs Ocelotes de la UNACH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
31.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciervos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
CIE
2 - 1
DOR
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
OUN
2 - 0
CIE
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CIE
1 - 0
CCM
30%
28%
42%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
GLA
3 - 1
CIE
20%
25%
54%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
CIE
1 - 3
MZA
23%
26%
51%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ocelotes de la UNACH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
CON
0 - 3
OUN
28%
29%
44%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
OUN
2 - 0
CIE
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
DOR
1 - 2
OUN
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MIN
1 - 0
OUN
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
OUN
1 - 1
CCM
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |