Ciervos vs Mazorqueros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
67.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
8º
10º
10º
15
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 4 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciervos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
4 - 0
CIE
78%
16%
6%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
CAA
0 - 6
CIE
48%
21%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +3 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CIE
0 - 2
HUR
30%
20%
50%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
CIE
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CIE
1 - 1
CCM
37%
21%
43%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mazorqueros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 0
MAZ
42%
26%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
MAZ
0 - 0
ZIT
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PDC
0 - 1
MAZ
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MAZ
0 - 2
THM
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MAZ
2 - 0
CAA
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |