Cianorte vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
39.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cianorte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
CAX
2 - 0
CIA
58%
25%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SAO
0 - 1
CIA
60%
24%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CIA
1 - 0
TUB
40%
29%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 0
CIA
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CIA
0 - 2
CAS
47%
27%
27%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
CAX
2 - 0
CIA
58%
25%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
TUB
2 - 2
CAX
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAX
1 - 0
SAO
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SCI
2 - 0
CAX
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAX
1 - 2
SCI
16%
27%
57%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |