Chur 97 vs St. Margrethen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.4%
12.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chur 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FRE
5 - 2
CHU
77%
14%
10%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CHU
1 - 1
FCS
72%
15%
13%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
FRA
4 - 3
CHU
67%
18%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CHU
3 - 2
WIL
47%
21%
32%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
UZW
4 - 2
CHU
41%
21%
38%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
St. Margrethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
KOS
17%
18%
65%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
UST
0 - 0
MAR
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 4
LIN
19%
19%
63%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
WSG
3 - 3
MAR
29%
22%
49%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 1
SIR
41%
23%
37%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |