Chur 97 vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chur 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CHU
4 - 4
TOW
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
LIN
4 - 1
CHU
47%
23%
30%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CHU
2 - 2
FCP
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SEU
1 - 1
CHU
34%
24%
42%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CHU
4 - 1
SVS
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
NEX
2 - 0
GCZ
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NEX
2 - 2
LAU
56%
22%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ZUR
0 - 2
NEX
74%
18%
8%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
NEX
0 - 0
SER
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
THU
0 - 0
NEX
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |