Chur 97 vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
48.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chur 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FCB
5 - 2
CHU
31%
21%
48%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CHU
0 - 0
UZW
50%
22%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
WID
0 - 2
CHU
40%
21%
39%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
UZU
1 - 17
CHU
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
CHU
3 - 2
RUT
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
LUG
6 - 0
UZU
84%
11%
6%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
SEU
4 - 1
LUG
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 3
WIL
73%
15%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
RUT
1 - 1
LUG
24%
22%
55%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
FCS
3 - 3
LUG
24%
22%
55%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |