Chungju Citizen vs Hwaseong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
66.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chungju Citizen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
YAN
3 - 1
CHC
78%
15%
8%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
PCF
2 - 1
CHC
57%
20%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
SIH
1 - 0
CHC
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
CHC
1 - 4
POC
13%
20%
67%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
ICH
1 - 0
CHC
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Hwaseong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 1
HWA
18%
24%
59%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
HWA
2 - 1
GIM
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
PAJ
1 - 2
HWA
21%
25%
55%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
GYE
1 - 2
HWA
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
CHU
2 - 5
HWA
21%
25%
54%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |