Christchurch C vs Dunedin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Christchurch C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
MAN
2 - 0
CHR
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
WAI
1 - 2
CHR
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2001 |
MET
1 - 1
CHR
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
CHR
0 - 1
TCU
46%
25%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
NAP
3 - 0
CHR
59%
22%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
DUN
2 - 4
MTW
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2001 |
MET
2 - 3
DUN
35%
25%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2001 |
WAI
2 - 1
DUN
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
DUN
2 - 3
MIR
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
TCU
1 - 2
DUN
45%
25%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |