Choupana FC vs UD Santana analysis


18	ELO	19
0%	Tilt	-0.2%
25758º	General ELO ranking	25755º
835º	Country ELO ranking	832º
ELO win probability

43.6%

Choupana FC

22.9%

Draw

33.5%

UD Santana

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

43.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%

22.9%

Draw

0-0

3.7%

1-1

10%

2-2

6.7%

3-3

2%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

22.9%

33.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%